TERMÓMETRO DE LA ECONOMÍA MEXICANA, INDICADORES HISTÓRICOS 1935-2021
 85 Años de la Economía Mexicana post Revolucionaria resumida en 14 sexenios presidenciales
                 Autor de la tabla, gráficas y  textos: Ing. Manuel Aguirre Botello
      		 
  MEXICO EN TUS SENTIDOS    
     

TERMOMETRO DE
   LA ECONOMIA
      MEXICANA
BUSCAR EN ESTE SITIO:      Eres el visitante:   desde Junio de 2009
   Página Principal PIB Países Absoluto PIB Absoluto México        
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Actualizada a 2o. semestre de 2021 (en proceso) 		   

 
Conoce EL NUEVO RANKING PRESIDENCIAL, 14 SEXENIOS,  MEXICO 1935-2018
  oprime aquí

 


 

     

Nota del autor:
La presente tabla, nace como un complemento de la ya conocida Súper Tabla que se ha publicado en este sitio desde 2002 y que cuenta con más de 1,074,000 visitas a Febrero de 2020. La idea consiste en concentrar de manera lógica y comprensible y en una misma tabla, un buen número de indicadores económicos en series históricas que inician en el año de 1935 y cubren todos los períodos presidenciales de 6 años, de tal manera que puedan ser rápidamente comparados y evaluados. La gran cantidad de información económica, a veces contradictoria, que circula en los medios hoy en día, nos obliga a ser más analíticos y por lo mismo tratar de confirmar la veracidad de las noticias. En esta tabla además de publicar los datos  anuales, trataremos de analizar, trimestre por trimestre desde el año 2009 y de esa forma tener una visión más clara de los acontecimientos económicos durante la presente crisis. Todas las fuentes de esta información, son estrictamente oficiales y se detallan en los textos explicativos que corresponden a cada una de las variables analizadas.
Ing. Manuel Aguirre Botello

Textos explicativos

Gráficas

Datos trimestrales y sexenales

Comparativo PIB per cápita con cifras de otros sexenios

Conclusiones

Abreviaturas

    
    


               ir directo al
COMPARATIVO PRIMER AÑO
de 15 sexenios presidenciales

 

 
GOBIERNO EN TURNO AÑO PIB Corriente base 2013 PIB Absoluto base 2013 Población PIB per Cápita Corriente Paridad Inflación en USA Inflación en México Rend. AÑO Desempleo/Empleo Salario Mínimo Reservas Internacionales. Deuda Externa Pública Bruta Balance Fiscal Petroleo  (M.Dls) Exportaciones Turismo Remesas  Indices INEGI Competitiv. IED AÑO
M.N$ M.Dls M.Dls Act MM N$ PIB % anual M.Habit N$/Hab. Dls/Hab. Dls Act. Var. % $/Dlr Var. % % anual IPC % anual INPC** Cetes % Tasa % IMSS miles Salario/día $ Var. % Salario Act. M Dls Corr. Var. % % PIB M Dls Corr. Var. % % PIB Riesgo País M.N$ % Ingr. % PIB Export. Import Balance M Dls Corr. Var. % % PIB M N$ Corr. M Dls Corr. % PIB M Dls Corr. % PIB ICC IPSP IGAE WEF Lugar M Dls
Lázaro Cárdenas del Río -> Bio 1935 4.54 1,261 24,829 550.54 7.56 17.91 0.25 70.40 1386.11   3.60 0.00 2.99 13.80 0.67 0.00141 nd 1935 nd nd 1.50 0.00 120.23 93.20 76.18 7.39 322.41 2.22 25.57 nd 0.012 3.83 0.26       208.40 16.55 16.53 nd nd   nd   nd nd nd nd nd 1935
Lázaro Cárdenas del Río 1936 5.35 1,485 28,820 595.71 8.20 18.21 0.29 81.56 1582.79 14.19 3.60 0.00 1.45 14.00 5.96 0.00149 nd 1936 nd nd 2.00 33.33 151.29 89.00 -4.51 5.99 329.37 2.16 22.18 nd -0.021 -5.45 -0.39       215.40 3.36 14.51 nd nd   nd   nd nd nd nd nd 1936
Lázaro Cárdenas del Río 1937 6.80 1,889 35,640 615.06 3.25 18.52 0.37 101.96 1923.87 21.55 3.60 0.00 2.86 14.40 18.75 0.00177 nd 1937 nd nd 2.00 0.00 127.40 55.40 -37.75 2.93 336.70 2.22 17.83 nd -0.028 -6.21 -0.41       247.90 15.09 13.12 nd nd   nd   nd nd nd nd nd 1937
Lázaro Cárdenas del Río 1938 7.28 1,611 31,262 623.66 1.40 18.87 0.39 85.37 1656.79 -13.88 4.52 25.56 -2.78 14.00 4.47 0.00185 nd 1938 nd nd 2.50 25.00 152.43 43.20 -22.02 2.68 273.74 -18.70 16.99 nd -0.066 -15.07 -0.91 10.22 2.66 7.56 185.40 -25.21 11.51 nd nd   nd   nd nd nd nd nd 1938
Lázaro Cárdenas del Río 1939 7.79 1,503 29,167 658.07 5.52 19.24 0.40 78.10 1515.64 -8.52 5.18 14.60 0.00 14.00 2.77 0.00190 nd 1939 nd nd 2.50 0.00 148.32 41.40 -4.17 2.75 243.72 -10.97 16.22 nd -0.005 -0.88 -0.06 16.73 3.59 13.14 216.10 16.56 14.38 nd nd   22.29 1.48 nd nd nd nd 22.29 1939
Lázaro Cárdenas del Río 1940 8.25 1,528 29,436 666.67 1.31 19.65 0.42 77.73 1497.74 -1.18 5.40 4.25 0.71 14.10 0.49 0.00191 nd 1940 nd nd 2.50 0.00 147.60 63.40 53.14 4.15 238.83 -2.01 15.63 nd -0.055 -9.53 -0.67 10.36 5.20 5.16 213.90 -1.02 14.00 nd nd   9.30 0.61 nd nd nd nd 9.30 1940
Resumen Sexenal 1935-1940 40.00     30.25% 4.50 11.5%     4.9%     50.0% 5.2% 1.052 36.7% 1.37   1935-1940     21.95% 66.67%     19.85%     -24.28% 15.63%   -0.163 -5.97% -0.41%         19.63%                       1935-1940
Manuel Avila Camacho -> Bio 1941 9.23 1,900 33,298 731.19 9.68 20.10 0.46 94.51 1656.60 10.61 4.86 -10.00 9.93 15.50 6.10 0.00203 nd 1941 nd nd 2.50 0.00 139.11 62.30 -1.74 3.28 270.55 13.28 14.24 nd -0.017 -2.56 -0.18 15.05 6.90 8.15 243.20 13.70 12.80 nd nd   16.27 0.86 nd nd nd nd 16.27 1941
Manuel Avila Camacho 1942 10.68 2,202 35,406 774.20 5.88 20.59 0.52 106.98 1719.96 3.82 4.85 -0.21 9.03 16.90 10.57 0.00225 nd 1942 nd nd 2.50 0.00 125.81 100.30 61.00 4.55 276.30 2.13 12.55 nd -0.091 -12.20 -0.85 5.50 6.70 -1.20 272.50 12.05 12.37 nd nd   5.54 0.25 nd nd nd nd 5.54 1942
Manuel Avila Camacho ***1943 13.04 2,688 41,967 802.16 3.61 21.11 0.62 127.32 1988.10 15.59 4.85 0.00 2.96 17.40 19.96 0.00269 nd ***1943 nd nd 2.50 0.00 104.88 242.50 141.77 9.02 240.63 -12.91 8.95 nd 0.016 1.47 0.12 3.84 8.17 -4.33 410.00 50.46 15.26 nd nd   8.30 0.31 nd nd nd nd 8.93 ***1943
Manuel Avila Camacho 1944 18.80 3,876 59,171 866.68 8.04 21.67 0.87 178.87 2730.29 37.33 4.85 0.00 2.30 17.80 28.25 0.00346 nd 1944 nd nd 3.60 44.00 117.76 279.50 15.26 7.21 240.63 0.00 6.21 nd -0.158 -12.20 -0.84 2.50 9.49 -6.99 432.20 5.41 11.15 nd nd   39.91 1.03 nd nd nd nd 39.91 1944
Manuel Avila Camacho 1945 20.57 4,240 63,303 894.63 3.23 22.27 0.92 190.38 2842.17 4.10 4.85 0.00 2.25 18.20 8.11 0.00374 nd 1945 nd nd 3.60 0.00 108.93 372.70 33.35 8.79 240.63 0.00 5.67 nd -0.169 -12.04 -0.82 5.82 12.20 -6.38 500.70 15.85 11.81 nd nd   46.00 1.08 nd nd nd nd 46.00 1945
Manuel Avila Camacho 1946 27.93 5,759 72,775 952.70 6.49 22.91 1.22 251.36 3176.48 11.76 4.85 0.00 18.13 21.50 18.75 0.00444 nd 1946 nd nd 3.39 -5.83 86.38 273.70 -26.56 4.75 240.63 0.00 4.18 nd 0.241 11.98 0.86 7.10 14.11 -7.01 570.10 13.86 9.90 nd nd   11.45 0.20 nd nd nd nd 11.47 1946
Resumen Sexenal 1941-1946 100.25     42.90% 6.13 16.6%     112.1%     -10.2% 52.5% 1.525 131.7% 2.317   1941-1946     -41.48% 35.60%     331.70%     0.75% 4.18%   -0.178 -2.47% -0.18% 39.81 57.57 -17.76   166.53%         127.47           128.12 1941-1946
Miguel Alemán Valdés -> Bio 1947 31.02 6,396 74,270 987.11 3.61 23.58 1.32 271.23 3149.32 -0.86 4.85 0.00 8.84 23.40 2.11 0.0045 nd 1947 nd nd 3.39 0.00 84.60 162.90 -40.48 2.55 240.63 0.00 3.76 nd -0.088 -4.28 -0.28 10.63 18.03 -7.40 713.90 25.22 11.16 nd nd   37.30 0.58 nd nd nd nd 37.30 1947
Miguel Alemán Valdés 1948 33.10 5,767 65,013 1,025.82 3.92 24.29 1.36 237.43 2676.70 -15.01 5.74 18.35 2.99 24.10 6.19 0.0048 nd 1948 nd nd 4.50 32.74 105.75 122.60 -24.74 2.13 240.63 0.00 4.17 nd -0.505 -22.27 -1.53 11.68 19.20 -7.52 715.50 0.22 12.41 nd nd   33.28 0.58 nd nd nd nd 33.28 1948
Miguel Alemán Valdés 1949 36.41 4,546 52,335 1,083.88 5.66 25.03 1.46 181.65 2091.28 -21.87 8.01 39.55 -2.07 23.60 5.83 0.0051 nd 1949 nd nd 4.50 0.00 99.93 164.00 33.77 3.61 240.63 0.00 5.29 nd 0.150 3.86 0.41 14.04 22.07 -8.03 701.10 -2.01 15.42 nd nd   30.48 0.67 nd nd nd nd 30.45 1949
Miguel Alemán Valdés 1950 42.16 4,874 52,974 1,189.26 9.72 25.79 1.63 188.99 2053.98 -1.78 8.65 7.99 5.93 25.00 11.01 0.0056 nd 1950 nd nd 3.39 -24.67 67.82 215.00 31.10 4.41 240.63 0.00 4.94 nd 0.178 4.89 0.42 24.58 28.66 -4.08 493.40 -29.62 10.12 2.01 232.80 4.78 72.38 1.48 nd nd nd nd 72.38 1950
Miguel Alemán Valdés 1951 54.38 6,286 64,451 1,281.74 7.78 26.58 2.05 236.46 2424.38 18.03 8.65 0.00 6.00 26.50 18.24 0.0067 nd 1951 nd nd 3.39 0.00 57.36 225.00 4.65 3.58 391.64 62.76 6.23 nd 0.214 4.38 0.39 26.46 26.65 -0.19 591.50 19.88 9.41 2.24 259.20 4.12 120.61 1.92 nd nd nd nd 120.61 1951
Miguel Alemán Valdés 1952 60.99 7,051 71,753 1,333.35 4.03 27.40 2.23 257.31 2618.36 8.00 8.65 0.00 0.75 26.70 -2.19 0.0065 nd 1952 nd nd 6.70 97.64 115.90 259.00 15.11 3.67 382.24 -2.40 5.42 nd -0.126 -1.99 -0.21 23.98 26.30 -2.32 625.30 5.71 8.87 2.40 278.00 3.94 68.17 0.97 nd nd nd nd 68.17 1952
Resumen Sexenal 1947-1952 258.07     39.95% 5.76 19.6%     -17.6%     78.4% 24.2% 1.242 47.3% 1.473   1947-1952     34.18% 97.64%     -5.37%     58.85% 5.42%   -0.177 -0.77% -0.07% 111.37 140.91 -29.54   9.68%         362.22           362.19 1947-1952
Adolfo Ruiz Cortines -> Bio 1953 60.66 7,013 70,836 1,337.65 0.32 28.25 2.15 248.26 2507.56 -4.23 8.65 0.00 0.75 26.90 2.09 0.0067 nd 1953 nd nd 6.70 0.00 113.53 299.00 15.44 4.26 676.68 77.03 9.65 nd -0.467 -9.30 -0.77 22.19 29.77 -7.58 559.10 -10.59 7.97 2.69 310.60 4.43 41.82 0.60 nd nd nd nd 41.82 1953
Adolfo Ruiz Cortines 1954 73.94 6,520 66,347 1,470.98 9.97 29.12 2.54 223.91 2278.50 -9.13 11.34 31.10 -0.74 26.70 16.37 0.0078 nd 1954 nd nd 8.00 19.40 116.49 240.00 -19.73 3.68 949.99 40.39 14.57 nd -0.203 -2.63 -0.27 33.42 34.41 -0.99 615.80 10.14 9.44 3.77 332.40 5.10 93.16 1.43 nd nd nd nd 93.16 1954
Adolfo Ruiz Cortines 1955 90.05 7,204 73,037 1,595.72 8.48 30.01 3.00 240.03 2433.44 6.80 12.50 10.23 0.37 26.80 9.44 0.0085 nd 1955 nd nd 8.00 0.00 106.44 446.00 85.83 6.19 925.03 -2.63 12.84 nd 0.141 1.56 0.16 42.25 40.75 1.50 738.60 19.94 10.25 4.75 379.80 5.27 105.36 1.46 nd nd nd nd 105.36 1955
Adolfo Ruiz Cortines 1956 102.92 8,234 81,053 1,705.39 6.87 30.94 3.33 266.16 2620.09 7.67 12.50 0.00 2.99 27.60 0.58 0.0085 nd 1956 nd nd 11.00 37.50 145.52 502.80 12.74 6.11 883.97 -4.44 10.74 nd -0.076 -0.75 -0.07 53.19 57.23 -4.04 807.20 9.29 9.80 5.14 411.50 5.00 126.39 1.53 nd nd nd nd 126.38 1956
Adolfo Ruiz Cortines 1957 118.21 9,456 90,469 1,834.43 7.57 31.88 3.71 296.59 2837.41 8.29 12.50 0.00 2.90 28.40 6.58 0.0091 nd 1957 nd nd 11.00 0.00 136.53 489.30 -2.68 5.17 845.97 -4.30 8.95 nd -0.433 -3.98 -0.37 37.99 63.19 -25.20 706.10 -12.52 7.47 5.53 442.10 4.68 131.59 1.39 nd nd nd nd 131.59 1957
Adolfo Ruiz Cortines 1958 131.38 10,510 98,810 1,931.22 5.28 32.86 4.00 319.81 3006.68 5.97 12.50 0.00 1.76 28.90 3.90 0.0095 nd 1958 nd nd 12.00 9.09 143.35 412.00 -15.80 3.92 798.01 -5.67 7.59 nd 1.164 8.83 0.89 23.33 44.40 -21.07 709.10 0.42 6.75 5.62 449.80 4.28 100.27 0.95 nd nd nd nd 100.27 1958
Resumen Sexenal 1953-1958 577.16     44.84% 6.37 19.9%     14.8%     44.5% 8.2% 1.082 44.8% 1.448   1953-1958     23.68% 79.10%     59.07%     108.77% 7.59%   0.126 0.22% 0.02% 212.37 269.75 -57.38   13.40%     2,326.20   598.58           598.58 1953-1958
Adolfo López Mateos -> Bio 1959 140.77 11,262 104,076 1,989.27 3.01 33.88 4.16 332.45 3072.31 2.18 12.50 0.00 1.73 29.40 -0.04 0.0095 nd 1959 nd nd 12.00 0.00 143.41 468.00 13.59 4.16 649.10 -18.66 5.76 nd 0.005 0.04 0.00 21.28 30.82 -9.54 723.00 1.96 6.42 6.24 499.10 4.43 133.00 1.18 nd nd nd nd 133.00 1959
Adolfo López Mateos 1960 159.70 12,776 116,487 2,150.56 8.11 34.92 4.57 365.84 3335.52 8.57 12.50 0.00 1.36 29.80 4.84 0.0099 nd 1960 nd nd 14.50 20.83 165.29 459.40 -1.84 3.60 813.30 25.30 6.37 nd -0.692 -3.56 -0.43 19.87 31.58 -11.71 738.70 2.17 5.78 6.32 505.40 3.96 78.43 0.61 nd nd nd nd 78.43 1960
Adolfo López Mateos 1961 173.24 13,859 125,515 2,243.45 4.32 36.07 4.80 384.24 3479.90 4.33 12.50 0.00 0.67 30.00 -0.33 0.0099 nd 1961 nd nd 14.50 0.00 165.84 437.90 -4.68 3.16 983.30 20.90 7.10 nd -0.421 -2.11 -0.24 33.33 23.32 10.01 803.60 8.79 5.80 6.68 534.70 3.86 119.26 0.86 nd nd nd nd 119.26 1961
Adolfo López Mateos 1962 186.78 14,942 133,548 2,343.48 4.46 37.25 5.01 401.12 3585.03 3.02 12.50 0.00 1.33 30.40 3.12 0.0102 nd 1962 nd nd 17.50 20.69 194.09 454.80 3.86 3.04 1,126.50 14.56 7.54 nd 0.179 0.88 0.10 38.33 14.92 23.41 906.50 12.80 6.07 7.10 567.80 3.80 126.48 0.85 nd nd nd nd 126.48 1962
Adolfo López Mateos 1963 207.95 16,636 146,280 2,520.23 7.54 38.47 5.41 432.41 3802.09 6.05 12.50 0.00 1.64 30.90 0.20 0.0102 nd 1963 nd nd 17.50 0.00 193.69 564.50 24.12 3.39 1,315.40 16.77 7.91 nd -0.591 -3.00 -0.28 36.88 16.60 20.28 944.10 4.15 5.67 7.94 635.50 3.82 117.48 0.71 nd nd nd nd 117.48 1963
Adolfo López Mateos 1964 245.50 19,640 171,032 2,797.74 11.01 39.74 6.18 494.27 4304.28 13.21 12.50 0.00 0.97 31.20 5.40 0.0108 nd 1964 nd nd 21.50 22.86 225.77 596.10 5.60 3.04 1,723.50 31.02 8.78 nd 0.690 2.38 0.28 38.06 23.05 15.01 1,026.70 8.75 5.23 8.48 678.00 3.45 161.93 0.82 nd nd nd nd 161.93 1964
Resumen Sexenal 1959-1964 1,113.95     44.87% 6.37 20.9%     43.2%     0.0% 8.0% 1.080 13.8% 1.138   1959-1964     57.49% 79.17%     44.68%     115.98% 8.78%   -0.830 -0.68% -0.07% 187.75 140.29 47.46   44.79%     3,420.50   736.58           736.58 1959-1964
Gustavo Díaz Ordaz -> Bio 1965 267.42 21,394 182,787 2,969.77 6.15 41.04 6.52 521.30 4454.02 3.48 12.50 0.00 1.92 31.80 0.65 0.0108 nd 1965 nd 2210.00 21.50 0.00 224.32 575.20 -3.51 2.69 2,114.00 22.66 9.88 nd 0.263 0.41 0.10 39.55 20.96 18.59 1,126.40 9.71 5.27 9.31 744.50 3.48 213.88 1.00 nd nd nd nd 213.88 1965
Gustavo Díaz Ordaz 1966 297.20 23,776 196,348 3,150.81 6.10 42.38 7.01 560.95 4632.51 4.01 12.50 0.00 3.46 32.90 2.58 0.0111 nd 1966 nd nd 25.00 16.28 254.28 581.00 1.01 2.44 2,260.00 6.91 9.51 nd 0.565 0.85 0.19 38.56 29.31 9.25 1,169.90 3.86 4.92 10.18 814.40 3.43 186.09 0.78 nd nd nd nd 186.09 1966
Gustavo Díaz Ordaz 1967 325.03 26,002 208,400 3,335.28 5.85 43.77 7.42 593.99 4760.70 2.77 12.50 0.00 3.04 33.90 1.43 0.0113 nd 1967 nd nd 25.00 0.00 250.69 621.00 6.88 2.39 2,643.00 16.95 10.16 nd 0.007 0.01 0.00 38.62 33.68 4.94 1,102.90 -5.73 4.24 11.15 891.70 3.43 88.60 0.34 nd nd nd nd 88.60 1967
Gustavo Díaz Ordaz 1968 359.86 28,789 220,334 3,649.58 9.42 45.21 7.96 636.76 4873.49 2.37 12.50 0.00 4.72 35.50 2.43 0.0115 nd 1968 nd 1991.91 28.25 13.00 276.57 670.00 7.89 2.33 3,154.00 19.33 10.96 nd 1.857 2.18 0.52 33.68 25.59 8.09 1,165.00 5.63 4.05 13.14 1050.80 3.65 116.80 0.41 nd nd nd nd 116.80 1968
Gustavo Díaz Ordaz 1969 397.80 31,824 229,350 3,774.34 3.42 46.69 8.52 681.54 4911.80 0.79 12.50 0.00 6.20 37.70 4.87 0.0121 nd 1969 nd 2901.91 28.25 0.00 263.74 718.00 7.16 2.26 3,432.00 8.81 10.78 nd -0.492 -0.50 -0.12 39.69 38.08 1.61 1,341.80 15.18 4.22 14.17 1133.80 3.56 195.76 0.62 nd nd nd nd 195.76 1969
Gustavo Díaz Ordaz 1970 444.27 35,542 242,630 4,019.77 6.50 48.23 9.21 736.99 5031.18 2.43 12.50 0.00 5.57 39.80 4.69 0.0127 nd 1970 nd 3120.76 32.00 13.27 285.35 820.00 14.21 2.31 4,262.80 24.21 11.99 nd -0.197 -0.18 -0.04 37.95 42.73 -4.78 1,289.60 -3.89 3.63 18.31 1465.10 4.12 200.72 0.56 nd nd nd nd 323.00 1970
Resumen Sexenal 1965-1970 2,091.57     43.68% 6.23 21.4%     16.9%     0.0% 27.6% 1.276 17.8% 1.178   1965-1970     26.39% 48.84%     37.56%     147.33% 12.0%   2.003 0.40% 0.10% 228.05 190.35 37.70   25.61%     6,100.30   1,001.85           1,124.13 1965-1970
Luis Echeverría Álvarez -> Bio 1971 490.00 39,200 259,140 4,171.01 3.76 49.83 9.83 786.74 5200.90 3.37 12.50 0.00 3.27 41.10 4.96 0.0133 nd 1971 nd 3232.66 32.00 0.00 271.87 1,020.00 24.39 2.60 4,545.80 6.64 11.60 nd -0.811 -0.67 -0.17 31.13 57.26 -26.13 1,365.60 5.89 3.48 20.46 1637.10 4.18 196.12 0.50 nd nd nd nd 307.00 1971
Luis Echeverría Álvarez 1972 564.70 45,176 288,808 4,514.24 8.23 51.48 10.97 877.55 5610.13 7.87 12.50 0.00 3.41 42.50 5.56 0.0140 nd 1972 nd 3581.08 38.00 18.75 305.85 1,284.70 25.95 2.84 5,064.60 11.41 11.21 nd -0.361 -0.24 -0.06 21.38 100.56 -79.18 1,666.40 22.03 3.69 23.44 1875.30 4.15 189.86 0.42 nd nd nd nd 301.00 1972
Luis Echeverría Álvarez 1973 690.90 55,272 325,052 4,869.11 7.86 53.19 12.99 1039.18 6111.34 8.93 12.50 0.00 8.71 46.20 21.37 0.0170 nd 1973 7.50 3900.81 44.85 18.03 297.42 1,406.90 9.51 2.55 7,070.40 39.60 12.79 nd 1.578 0.77 0.23 24.69 246.69 -222.00 2,071.70 24.32 3.75 28.13 2250.50 4.07 286.89 0.52 nd nd nd nd 457.00 1973
Luis Echeverría Álvarez 1974